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The National Trip End Model is a trip generation model of Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales). The currently published NTEM version 8 results cover the period 2021 to 2061. These forecasts inform most of the Department for Transport's investment decisions.
The NTEM Synthetic Population project aims to replace Scenario Generator and NATCOP (including the licence cohort model) with a Synthetic Population Forecasting Model.
We wish to replace the components 'Scenario Generator', 'NATCOP' and 'Licence Cohort Model' with new forecasting software that generates a 'synthetic population' that can be published as well as continuing to provide the inputs to the existing CTripEnd modelling software.
This contract has been awarded to Ove Arup pursuant to a mini-competition held on the CCS Research & Insights dynamic purchasing agreement (RM6126). The contract has a maximum value of £200,000 excluding VAT, and a duration of 2 years.
| Supplier | Identifier | Award Value | Cross-References |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ove Arup & Partners Ltd | 01312453 | £200,000 | LOBBYIST iNHouse Communications Limited (6 quarters) 5654 & Company Limited (1 quarter) FORMER MP Caroline Flint— Donations and other support (including loans) for activities as an MP (former) |
Government spending data: This supplier has received £1,264,104,755 in 11,698 payments (over £25k) from Department for Transport, DEFRA, BEIS, DfT GPC, MHCLG and 20 more public bodies (2010-04-20 to 2026-06-08). View full payment history →